Pocket Queens on the Turn After a Flop Check-Raise
DECISION POINT: In a live $1/$2 no-limit hold'em cash game, a player sitting under the gun raises and you three-bet to $18 with . It folds back around to the UTG player who calls and then checks after the flop. You continuation bet, your opponent check-raises, and you call. The turn is the and your opponent checks again.
PRO ANSWER: We should bet on the turn when our opponent checks in this spot. We aren't that deep on the flop (the stack-to-pot ratio, or "SPR," is about 5), so an overpair is relatively strong on this board even after the check-raise.
Given that we three-bet preflop, our opponent can expect us to c-bet close to 100 percent of the time when they check on the flop. If they suspect we may be three-betting light preflop, the small flop check-raise may be an attempt to exploit this.
Of the hands we beat, they can easily have , backdoor diamonds, the heart draw, or various types of air. Against that range we should not give a free card.
Since our opponent regularly has a relatively small number of outs, we make the most profit by betting on the smaller side, perhaps around $50 into the $127 pot. We then should not fold if they move all in over our bet.
Betting is the best play.
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